Thursday, 5 May 2016

BBCAN4 Week 11 power rankings

What a week huh? Huge arguments, house meetings, PoV drama and a remarkable recovery. Joel went from being in the best position in the house to out the door in less than a week, and that is hard to do. Now we're at the final four and are split 2/2. Time for Tim and Cassandra to prove their physical game is as good as their strategic game.

1. Philippe/Nick - With stronger brother Nick playing HoH and PoV this week, and with this level of competition, the brothers are almost assured a spot in the final 3. But can they win if they get to the end? I'm not seeing a lot of respect for them on the jury, and recent dysfunction hasn't done them any favours.

2. Tim - Tim has talked his way back in with Kelsey and the bros and doesn't have anyone going after him now...and I don't think he has to worry about Cassandra beating him in comps.

3. Kelsey - She wouldn't be anyone's first choice to go home but if Tim and Cassandra can't get the brothers they'll settle for her instead. So, Nick winning HoH is actually the worst thing that can happen to her.

4. Cassandra - Props to Cassandra for coming back from the dead this week, but her suckiness at comps is still leaving her in hot water. She has the gift of the gab and it seems crazy to doubt her after what she just pulled off, but there just seems to be very little room to maneuver.

Thursday, 28 April 2016

BBCAN4 Week 10 power rankings

You win some, you lose some. We had Cassandra kicking King Jared to the curb after he turned down a $100,000 haircut, but also Nikki following him out the door in that crazy double. I mean, better her than one of the other three, obviously, but now it's gonna get harder to get rid of the Paqs bros. Here's my extremely comp-specific power rankings:

1. Joel - The the freak show has finally taken over, and Joel is the best positioned of the three. The other side aren't mad at him, and he has the votes if he gets to the end. Will Nikki's public endorsement be the kiss of death, though? And he's gotta be worried that Cassandra picked Tim over him.

2. Tim - Phil and Nick have made it their mission to ensure a Canadian wins. But the jury segment also showed us that Tim's game may end up being respected after all. But under a Kelsey HoH, he'll probably hit the block again. Him vs Cassandra could be a toss-up.

3. Cassandra - Her HoH started so well, but she just couldn't help herself and had to seriously scorch all her relationships with the other side. That bizarre veto move killed any chance of the brothers working with her and possibly their jury vote too. And Jared is probably campaigning against her any chance he can.

4. Kelsey - She just lost her showmance, but the only circumstances in which Kelsey leaves this week is if she doesn't win HoH and the brothers win the veto. So the only reason she's this low is because there's high odds of that happening.

5. Philippe/Nick - As soon as I saw that HoH, I knew Nick was winning it (thanks, production). And they could possibly win comps all the way to the end. But there's very little room for error...3/5ths of the house are coming after them.

Thursday, 21 April 2016

BBCAN4 Week 9 power rankings

After an emotional week like this, it's perfect timing that we get family members duking it out for HoH. Nobody could have predicted Ramsey leaving the way he did, but he made the only decision he could have in the circumstances.

1. Joel - With over half the house a target, Joel is still very safe. He's pretty much the only person the wishy-washy bros didn't consider going after. The Steve Moses parallels get more apparent every week.

2. Kelsey - I've never put Kelsey this high before. But I don't think she's seen as a threat anymore and people might think of her as someone good to bring to the end since she's already been evicted.

3. Nikki - Even though she's as harmless and hilarious as ever, there's been an anti-international sentiment in the house recently, and Nikki could go home just to ensure a Canadian wins.

4. Cassandra - Will likely sit next to Tim on the block if Jared is HoH, but if the house wants to break up a pair, it probably won't be by taking out the one that's useless at competitions.

5. Philippe/Nick - The brothers' delusions reached new levels this week. They think they're invincible, but the first time they touch the block they're in trouble. Their side does have the stronger competitors though.

6. Jared - Now is the time when comp threats become a priority to get out. Joel, Tim and even Cassandra to some degree all have him in their sights.

7. Tim - Tim's ego will be his downfall in the game. He couldn't last two seconds on the block without making sure everyone knew he wasn't not in control. He's pushing too many buttons and people are getting tired of him. Time to prove you're as good at this game as you think you are.

Thursday, 14 April 2016

BBCAN4 Week 8 power rankings

Who knew Canada loved the Paq bros so much? Let's hope they don't let us down now that they're forced to pick a side. To hear who I think could be in their crosshairs, read further:

1. Tim - It's weird that Tim has been turning down alliances, but good that the offers keep rolling in. He still hasn't sniffed the block.

2. Nikki - That roulette wheel was likely our best chance of seeing Nikki in power, but I'm not too disappointed, since I didn't want Cassandra to go. Nikki changes her opinions like the wind so hopefully they'll be able to make up.

3. Jared - For whatever reason, people want to work with a solo Jared as opposed to seeing him as the threat that he is. Third wheel breaking up helps him immensely.

4. Ramsey - If anyone takes a shot at him, it'll be Cassandra. Other than that, he's pretty much in the clear.

5. Joel - It shouldn't be hard for Joel to stay off the block, since there are a lot of bigger targets around, but he could also be the pawn that goes home.

6. Philippe/Nick - Maddy really screwed their game this week by making everyone think they had a deal, when really it was just her own delusions. This HoH should buy them some much-needed time but I'm not sure if they're good enough players to come out of it with more allies than enemies.

7. Kelsey - She likely would've gone home against anyone other than Raul this week. If she goes up again, it'll be much harder for Cassandra to save her. Getting into a fight with Phil was not a good start.

8. Cassandra - She hustled so hard this week to get what she wanted, so it hurts me to put her so low, but she's lost trust with Nikki and Tm at the worst possible time, and people are getting sick of her game.

9. Maddy - She's so focused on her big move that she's missed the fact she ran a terrible HoH. Keeping everyone on their toes is just going to alienate them, and she'll be in for a rude awakening when she learns she hasn't made as much progress with Cassandra as she thinks.

Thursday, 7 April 2016

BBCAN4 Week 7 power rankings

Well, Mitch leaving the game has blown it wide open...I had him down as a frontrunner almost every week. Had it not been for the fake eviction twist I'm sure he would've been sitting pretty, but since he waited until he was on the block to start being entertaining, I'm not too mad at losing him. Let's try and figure out where we go from here:

1. Tim - With Mitch gone, Tim is now the biggest potential power player in the house and he doesn't have a big target on his back like Jared. As much as he claims to love chaos, he usually ends up doing the smart thing.

2. Joel - His plan for surviving the block should be his plan for advancing in the game....lay low. The big players are gonna start throwing grenades at eachother now, so Joel should be able to step back and not get involved.

3. Jared - I'm not seeing Jared as this unstoppable force...his name has come up way too much for that. But he does have a lot of influence over the house and I think his allies will go before him.

4. Maddy - I can't believe how high I'm putting Maddy either, but she's a relatively small target right now.

5. Cassandra - If she can put aside her differences with Maddy, she has a really good shot of running this game. Her and Tim are becoming quite a power couple.

6. Ramsey - He's not quite off Cassandra's radar, and his secret deal with Jared might have been blown up now.

7. Nikki - We've seen more game from her now, as she campaigned hard for Mitch. But also, nobody really cares if she leaves and now she's gonna be a lot more isolated and disinterested.

8. Kelsey - She may have been the mastermind genius behind this vote, but a lot of people have talked about the negative energy that she brought back to the house. Now that they realize what a mistake it was to let her back, it won't take long for them to send her out again.

9. Raul - So much for his stock going up. Raul was a complete trainwreck this week and even Kelsey and Jared lost patience with him. He's a terrible ally who can't keep his mouth shut and just the Third Wheel's puppet. And now he has no other options, since he evicted his best friend.

10. Philippe/Nick - I don't think these guys have any idea how close they came to being evicted. If Jared wins HoH and gets them out, they'll never see it coming...and Mitch can tell them "I told you so".

Friday, 1 April 2016

BBCAN4 Week 6 power rankings

With one of the wildest votes yet, Dallas was sent home this week, and if you weren't won over by his passion and emotion he showed after his exit, you never will be. I can't believe that we had a 90 minute episode and we still didn't find out who's coming back in the house, though. But it shouldn't affect my rankings too much, as let's be honest, they're both screwed.

1. Jared - This can't be seen as anything other than a fantastic week for Jared. He got out the person that was most vocally targeting him, he won the battle for numbers, and he might even be getting his closest ally back in the house.

2. Raul - Raul has grown on me a lot, he can be quite funny at times. He was super safe this week despite having just come off the block, and even if his side is targeted, I don't think he'll be the first choice to get rid of.

3. Nikki - Not sure why Nikki decided to vote against the rest of her alliance, but there's still a lot of bigger targets in the house than her.

4. Tim - His gummy koala system might have been intended to keep the blood off his hands, but a lot of people saw through it and are now wary of him. He's also gonna have to repair his relationship with Nikki again.

5. Mitch - I'm pretty sure Mitch is now the only houseguest to get his way on every vote. However, the returning player will probably out him for playing both sides and he's definitely not as under the radar as he once was.

6. Philippe/Nick - They've been playing the middle pretty successfully so far, but trying to keep Dallas was quite clearly a shot against Jared. It's hard to tell if their relationship is irreparable.

7. Joel - Ever since winning HoH, Joel's game has been on the downward slide. Tim almost turned on him, and now he votes on the wrong side of the numbers. He has the most to gain from Loveita coming back.

8. Ramsey - He's shown he can win comps, but being attached to Maddy is not good for him and he seems to have taken his eye off the ball. Oh well, at least he'll be able to boink her in the jury house now.

9. Cassandra - She campaigned hard for Dallas to stay and it didn't happen. That's probably gonna make her a target, and she's already been called out by Maddy.

10. Maddy - Well, Maddy may have survived the block, but I'm not sure how much of that was due to her. She's also screwed either way on the returning player front since both of them despise her. If there's no revolving door this week, Maddy will be the sacrifical lamb.

Thursday, 24 March 2016

BBCAN4 Week 5 power rankings

When I first heard about the fake double eviction twist, I was skeptical. But after seeing how awkward Loveita and Kelsey were together (mainly Kelsey, who looked pissed), I think I love it. Anyway back to the houseguests who are currently in the game:

1. Joel - Had to get blood in his hands this week with a HoH win, and yet he came out of it with nobody blaming him (not even the nominees) and a new-found respect from Dallas' side of the house.

2. Mitch - Whilst Mitch is still playing an impressive game, the first few cracks started to show when third wheel realize he knew about the nominations and feel betrayed. I also have a feeling the secret room could hurt his game. Having said that, he's building a solid link with Raul in the wake of Kelsey's departure and nobody put him up in the knockout comp until the very end.

3. Ramsey - Nothing much to report on the Ramsey front this week, which is a good sign.

4. Cassandra - Seemed happy to see Loveita go for obvious reasons (though she might come back). Her connection to Tim could come back to bite her eventually, but for now there should be others in the crosshairs.

5. Nikki - She's almost completely disappeared from the show, but nobody is paying her any mind and she'll be sitting pretty whoever wins this week.

6. Jared - He's definitely more dangerous now without his showmance, and should have more people willing to work with him. If Dallas gets his way though, he won't be totally off the hook.

7. Philippe/Nick - Not sure why these guys were so happy to get Loveita out...she had their back more than most people. It's hard to say where their game goes from here...Kelsey was definitely an asset to their game, but now they might be able to bromance with Jared.

8. Tim - He's turned into a sloppy overplayer...I dunno what he was thinking with asking to be nominated, but he could've easily got Parhar'ed. Mitch is also onto him so I think they might clash sooner rather than later.

9. Maddy - What was this girl thinking? Loveita was not after you, dummy! Does she just hate women that much? Jared winning and putting her on the block will be sweet karma. I'm not dropping her low because I think anyone will target her, it's because I've lost my faith in her ability to make good decisions.

10. Raul - For all his talk about how Joel was nothing without the people around him, I think Raul is gonna be a bit of a chicken with his head cut off now that third wheel is gone. That could help him if he's now seen as harmless, or it could make him an easy pawn (like he was for Maddy already).

11. Dallas - He looked really frustrated and pissed off by his ally's choices, and for good reason. Dallas has made no secret of his desire to target third wheel, and they're sure to target him right back.

Thursday, 17 March 2016

BBCAN4 Week 4 power rankings

Well, history repeats itself as Loveita fails to get her target out and Christine is sent packing. This has been a very weird season where the quiet people are getting weeded out early, and I'm pretty grateful for it. Here's my weekly rundown, which I'm writing without knowledge of who won HoH:

1. Mitch - He'll have to pick a side soon, but I think he's shown enough smarts to be able to adapt to the game. Every time he talks strategy he's making solid decisions.

2. Joel - The nerd gets more rootable every day, and is doing a great job as Mitch's right hand man. Winning back Loveita's trust will be key.

3. Ramsey - I'm starting to feel good about Ramsey again. The target has almost completely disappeared from his back and it's hard to see him sniffing the block this week.

4. Nikki - Well, she only threatened to quit once this week, so that's something. Sometimes her head is in the game, sometimes she's just classic volatile Nikki. Either way, no-one sees her as a threat.

5. Maddy - Her smooch sessions with Nick would land her in hot water with Phil if anyone found out, but otherwise there are bigger fish to fry. Her dynamic with the brothers reminds me of a couple of horny teenagers sneaking around under the nose of the strict father.

6. Loveita - Loveita's bizarre HoH might actually work out in her favour somewhat. She has a deal with third wheel that they'll probably keep, and she also made progress with some of the floaters (despite them voting against her). I wouldn't be surprised if she's used as a pawn, but who is gonna target her other than Cassandra?

7. Tim - He's smart but he's scheming too hard, so I knocked him down a bit. The vote to evict Cassandra was a transparent attempt to stir the pot and even his best friend Nikki got sick of his shit. His overplaying might catch up with him very soon.

8. Cassandra - Off the block, but is she totally out of the woods? She still has a lot of people in the house that aren't huge fans of her. Even Kelsey is losing patience with her.

9. Raul - The least threatening of the third wheel, but could also be seen as an expendable pawn. Those haven't fared too well this season.

10. Kelsey - Kelsey thinks she's the mastermind doing all the work in the house, but let's see what happens when someone willing to make a big move gets in power.

11. Dallas - The beast from the east has been a pretty big trainwreck so far, and has talked a big game without delivering. Too many people think he's shady and he's now added "comp threat" to his CV with a veto win. He stands to lose the most from Cassandra staying.

12. Philippe/Nick - Dallas wanted them as a backdoor this week, and they'll probably continue to be a huge target. They've also shown they're not great under pressure either, so watch them dig their own grave when their name comes up.

13. Jared - Yes, I put Jared bottom last week and was dead wrong...but he's still on dangerous ground with a lot of people seeing him as the alpha male of the house and itching to take a shot.

Thursday, 10 March 2016

BBCAN4 Week 3 power rankings

Ok, so Jared and Kelsey proved themselves pretty insufferable in power, but thankfully that's a thing of the past now. Loveita was their original target, but it seemed Sharry was seen as the bigger threat. Bet they wish they pushed harder now though, seeing as Loveita is back up in the HoH and sure to have them in her sights.

1. Mitch - I keep forgetting Mitch is in the house a lot of the time...and that's a great thing for his chances. He won't be targeted anytime soon, and has some good reads on people - he's one of the few not underestimating Tim for example.

2. Joel - Haha, Joel is probably so glad he didn't end up with that HoH. That would've only hurt his game, becuse he's perfectly positioned in the middle as a neutral party right now, which is the place to be in a season with no strong alliances. He still has strong connections though, including Loveita.

3. Tim - Man, Tim was made for this game. He has the best social game in the house everybody loves him and feeds him information. I'm particularly enjoying his connection with Cassandra.

4. Cassandra - I must admit, Cassandra is a much better player than I thought she would be. She helped Loveita to stay, so she's not going up this week. The only thing she has to worry about is Dallas, but she's thrown enough shade on him to be able to come out on top of that feud.

5. Christine - Christine won a veto this week, to the surprise of many. She keeps saying she wants to be a floater but people might get tired of that.

6. Philippe/Nick - The Paq brothers have been another nice surprise, and have connections on several sides of the house. But if their flirting doesn't catch up with them, their competition prowess might.

7. Maddy - She's sorta-aligned with Loveita, and is also unlikely to be a direct target even when the other alliance takes power.

8. Ramsey - Ramsey hasn't really clicked with many people in the house, but he's not really bothering anyone either. He's fine where he is...for now.

9. Loveita - Surviving the block, she now has a second chance to repair her game. Hopefully she learned from the mistakes of her first HoH, but I think the reason she was kept in was to always be a target. It'll be hard for her to win all the way to the end.

10. Nikki - There's no reason for anyone to go after Nikki at this point. the only reason she's this low is she's something of a quit risk. But I don't think it'll be this week...she finally has a chance to see the clique squirm, how could she want to miss out on that?

11. Kelsey - Even though Kelsey was Loveita's target before, she probably has the best chance of surviving a Third Wheel slaughter...in the long term, if not the short term.

12. Dallas - Man, Dallas has been such a sloppy player so far....I don't think he's long for this game at all. After admitting to lying about his vote, nobody really trusts him anymore, and he is a major target for a lot of people.

13. Raul - Ended up on Nikki's shitlist with his vodka-hogging, and Tim's not a fan either. He doesn't seem interested in playing the game outside of seeing how far he can get up Jared and Kelsey's ass, so don't be surprised if he ends up going home this week if he's on the block.

14. Jared - I thought this guy would be way better socially than he is, but he's mostly just kept to his own little clique...and it'll cost him, because Loveita is probably gonna try and send him out the door this week.

Friday, 4 March 2016

BBCAN4 Week 2 power rankings

Aaand I'm back again already! But a lot has changed. I didn't expect Paige's eviction, but I guess she was just too quiet. Shame, as getting out the showmance fodder this early would've actually been quite revelatory.

1. Jared - He got what he wanted this week - his cuddlebuddy staying - without even having to work that hard for it.

2. Mitch - He voted on the right side of the numbers, which tells me he's making connections and staying in the loop.

3. Joel - Sharry said she wanted Joel to go home, but that was before the vote flipped. I'm sure she'll be more pissed at other people than him.

4. Kelsey - Kelsey's boobs looked amazing in that shell bra, and it's that sex appeal that kept her around. Showmances are very powerful in this game...I'm sure there's a lot of people that will regret not taking her out when they had the chance.

5. Raul - Was in on the plan to get Paige out. Probably floating in the middle right now.

6. Christine - Loveita implied she didn't have many connections, but she had enough to be included in the vote. Her "I've been waiting 16 years to say this" line was odd....maybe she has a vendetta against Paige.

7. Ramsey - Had to knock him down a bit, since he voted on the wrong side, but I think he'll have enough time to recover.

8. Dallas - Same as Ramsey. I'm sure he'll be able to bond with the bros as well as keep pimping the ladies.

9. Philippe/Nick - Loveita gave them a reprieve this week, and they repaid her by undermining her HoH. It's a risky strategy but they kinda had to play big. Keeping the other distractions around will help them a lot...and two more have just walked in the door.

10 . Nikki - I can't believe I'm saying this, but Nikki might actually be the lower-key wildcard? I'm not sure of her capacity to play the game, but if she stays naive and adorable she could skate on by for a while.

11. Tim - He's not even in the house and he's already insulting another houseguest. That might not bode well if the others don't get his sense of humour. But his arrival is a godsend for Nick and Philippe, so expect them to lock something down. By the time he's available for nomination, he might have worked enough magic to stick around.

12. Cassandra - Has a target on her back for being annoying, as I predicted. If she's working with Jared and the brothers though, they might protect her.

13. Maddy - Nobody told her Kelsey was staying, so she's probably not gonna be a mover or shaker. She also has a big mouth, saying "that's unfair" to the wildcard twist. Welcome to Big Brother.

14. Sharry - As Loveita's right-hand woman for her failed reign of power, she might end up guilty by association. And we haven't really got a good sense of her comp skills yet.

15. Loveita - You can so easily go from the top to the bottom in this game, and that's exactly what's happened to Loveita. She has some major damage control to do, and the majority have all the excuses they need to just send her right out.

Thursday, 3 March 2016

BBCAN4 Week 1 power rankings


Since it's a new season, I'm probably gonna revamp the blog a little bit. Episodic recaps are out, instead, here's the first of a weekly rundown of each houseguest, based on their position in the game:

1. Ramsey - This guy immediately struck me as likeable. He's also athletic and should be able to stay under-the-radar long enough to make that final push. Ending up in the middle of the pack in the challenge is exactly where he needs to be....keeps the attention off him.

2. Jared - Jared played the HoH comp perfectly...made a deal for his safety, and avoided being the one to have to make a decision. He looks good at comps, but isn't relying solely on them...and he seems to have a showmance incoming.

3. Dallas - Dallas seems to be very well-liked by the rest of the houseguests from what we saw. He clearly has a big presence and was leading that roundtable. Could that lead to him being a control freak? I hope not. He was also out of the challenge surprisingly early.

4. Loveita - The first HoH! Well, she proved she can perform in comps, which should be enough to get her into the initial majority alliance. However, it depends how she plays it from here...the wrong nominations could make enemies.

5. Mitch - He's a hot favorite to do well, and for good reason. I'm not fully on board though, as he might have an irritating smugness to him. And how can he possibly claim his YouTube videos are watched in every country in the world? I somehow doubt people in North Korea are watching Mitch.

6. Sharry - Bad luck getting knocked off the pedestal. I have a good feeling about her though, so I'll put her high. The first lesbian on the show, her story should resonate with people. It did with me.

7. Joel - Defied expectations by not being the first out of the challenge and the twist allowed him to secure his safety with little fanfare. But the fact people think he sucks at comps is not the best first impression. He's not going home this week, but how long can he avoid the block if nobody takes him seriously?

8. Paige - Paige is very under-the-radar but I'm a little higher on her chances than Kelsey's, who I'm getting her confused with. The lack of a showmance should help reduce her target and she probably has more personality too.

9. Kelsey - All we know about Kelsey is that Maddy doesn't like her and that she's probably going to hook up with Jared. If history repeats, she'll float to the final 5 but then fall short.

10. Maddy - Hater! But really, I actually found Maddy's feistiness pretty fun - of course, her cute butt helps. Whether it's a hit with the other houseguests remains to be seen, but I don't see her being a week 1 target.

11. Christine - She seemed to be well-received when she told everybody her age, but people who drop out first can often be an easy nomination. Parents have a tendency to be outcasts, and she might end up being seen as a lame duck.

12. Raul - He seems a little irritating, and doesn't seem to have much strategy. I think he'll rub people up the wrong way and go early.

13. Cassandra - She got some serious shade from BB when they cut to her after Dallas talked about people "who think their shit don't stink". Clearly she's one of the bigger personalities in the cast, but is she gonna win? No.

14. Philippe/Nick - Man, the night just got worse and worse for the brothers. First they get forced into this twist that puts a huge target on their backs from the start. Then they get made to look like liars by Arisa. Then Nick fails to win the challenge, gets sent to solitary and even knocks Sharry over on the way down. They just scream "easy first boot" right now. Their only hope may be to win the veto.